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Scenario Analysis in Latin America

This report provides quantitative evidence on the relevance of climate-related risks for banks and investors in Latin America.

It identifies the types of climate-related risks that Latin American economies could be exposed to and what this implies for financial institutions in the region.

Through a series of proxy metrics, the authors estimate the extent to which banks and investors could potentially be exposed to transition risks. To provide further evidence on potential exposure to these risks, the authors apply the PACTA climate scenario analysis methodology to Colombian pension funds’ and insurers’ portfolios.

The report provides an overview of strategies available for the mitigation of transition risks and discusses which ones might be most suitable for Latin American financial institutions. It also develops a set of recommendations for supervisory authorities, regulators, and governments in Latin America.